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MOVING AVERAGE CONVERGENDE DIVERGENCE Print E-mail
Written by Administrator   
Tuesday, 12 June 2007

A popular technical indicator system that combines several moving averages to better show a stock's trend and momentum.  Developed by Gerald Appel, Moving Average Convergence/Divergence (MACD) is one of the simplest and most reliable indicators available. MACD uses moving averages, which are lagging indicators, to include some trend-following characteristics. These lagging indicators are turned into a momentum oscillator by subtracting the longer moving average from the shorter moving average. The resulting plot forms a line that oscillates above and below zero, without any upper or lower limits.

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MACD measures the difference between two moving averages. A positive MACD indicates that the 12-day EMA is trading above the 26-day EMA. A negative MACD indicates that the 12-day EMA is trading below the 26-day EMA. If MACD is positive and rising, then the gap between the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA is widening. This indicates that the rate-of-change of the faster moving average is higher than the rate-of-change for the slower moving average. Positive momentum is increasing and this would be considered bullish. If MACD is negative and declining further, then the negative gap between the faster moving average (green) and the slower moving average (blue) is expanding. Downward momentum is accelerating and this would be considered bearish. MACD centerline crossovers occur when the faster moving average crosses the slower moving average.

The MACD-Histogram represents the difference between MACD and the 9-day EMA of MACD, which can also be referred to as the signal or trigger line. The plot of this difference is presented as a histogram, making centerline crossovers and divergences are easily identifiable. A centerline crossover for the MACD-Histogram is the same as a moving average crossover for MACD. If you will recall, a moving average crossover occurs when MACD moves above or below the signal line.

The main signal generated by the MACD-Histogram is a divergence followed by a moving average crossover. A bullish signal is generated when a positive divergence forms and there is a bullish centerline crossover. A bearish signal is generated when there is a negative divergence and a bearish centerline crossover. Keep in mind that a centerline crossover for the MACD-Histogram represents a moving average crossover for MACD.

 

 
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